Earthquake Predictions for 2024
Presented here are two models: Aggressive and less Aggressive. Based on the these models (work is still in progress) the earthquake(s) of magnitude 6.9 or higher, if occur, are likely to occur on the following dates, times and at possible locations. Please note that these hourly predictions are provided below for this month and for the rest of the year predictions will be added until the model(s) is expected to be developed with a reasonable degree of confidence. Please note that these dates and time refer to the Universal time (GMT).
January 2: Read the post-comment below at the end of this month’s predictions.
Aggressive Model
January 2024
| Start Time | End Time | Hours | Possible Earthquake Location |
| Jan 7, 24 16:00 | Jan 8, 24 12:00 | 21 | Banda Sea Indonesia northern Mid-Atlantic Ridge |
| Jan 10, 24 8:00 | Jan 13, 24 2:00 | 67 | Vanuatu Chile Indonesia Fiji region Solomon Islands |
| Jan 23, 24 4:00 | Jan 25, 24 2:00 | 47 | Eastern Russia Bolivia Maumere, Indonesia Papua New Guinea |
| Jan 27, 24 2:00 | Jan 27, 24 21:00 | 20 | Eastern Russia Bolivia Maumere, Indonesia Papua New Guinea |
| Out of 744 Hours | 153 Hrs |
Less Aggressive Model
January 2024
| Start Time | End Time | Hours | Possible Earthquake Location |
| Jan 3, 24 22:00 | Jan 5, 24 15:00 | 42 | Philippines, Alaska, Fiji, Vanuatu, Indonesia, China, Mexico, Eatern Russia, Honduras |
| Jan 5, 24 19:00 | Jan 6, 24 12:00 | 18 | Eastern Russia, Solomon Islands, Pakistan, Tonga, Japan, India, Kuril Islands, Indonesia, Philippine, Kermadec Islands, Haiti, Chile, Papua New Guinea, Peru |
| Jan 6, 24 23:00 | Jan 8, 24 12:00 | 38 | Japan, Indonesia, Mindanao, Philippines, Banda Sea, Indonesia, Myanmar, Japan, northern Mid-Atlantic Ridge, Fiji |
| Jan 10, 24 1:00 | Jan 14, 24 10:00 | 106 | Vanuatu, Chile, Peru, Indonesia, Philippines, Fiji region Solomon Islands, Colombia |
| Jan 22, 24 7:00 | Jan 27, 24 12:00 | 126 | Papua New Guinea, Chile, Ecuador, Eastern Russia, Indonesia, Mexico, New Zealand, Bolivia, Argentina, New Caledonia, Chile, Japan, Vanuatu, China |
| Jan 30, 24 10:00 | Jan 31, 24 0:00 | 39 | Philippines, Alaska, Fiji, Vanuatu, Indonesia, China, Mexico, Eastern Russia, Honduras |
| Out of 744 Hours | 369 Hrs. |
January 2, 2024 (comment)
In light of the recent earthquake in Japan (Universal Time (UTC): 1 Jan 2024 07:10:10) of magnitude 7.6, and after double checking both models it was discovered that both of them did NOT failed but they DID predict the earthquake. A mistake was made in not including the first few days of January (up to Jan 3, 2024 21:00 GMT), a period before the earth reaches it’s maximum orbital speed around the earth.
January 31, 2024
In January there were two earthquakes of magnitude 6.9 and higher that occurred as follows:
January 1: Region: near the west coast of Honshu, Japan, Geographic coordinates: 37.498N, 137.242E, Magnitude: 7.5, Universal Time (UTC): 1 Jan 2024 07:10:10, Time near the Epicenter (1): 1 Jan 2024 16:10:10
January 22: Region: Kyrgyzstan-Xinjiang border region, Geographic coordinates: 41.294N, 78.594E, Magnitude: 7.0, Universal Time (UTC): 22 Jan 2024 18:09:07, Time near the Epicenter (1): 23 Jan 2024 02:09:07
While the aggressive model missed the second one, the less aggressive model captured both of them.
Based on the these models (work is still in progress) the earthquake(s) of magnitude 6.9 or higher, if occur, are likely to occur on the following dates, times and at possible locations. Please note that these hourly predictions are provided below for this month and for the rest of the year predictions will be added until the model(s) is expected to be developed with a reasonable degree of confidence. Please note that these dates and time refer to the Universal time (GMT).
Aggressive Model
February 2024
| Start Time | End Time | Hours | Possible Earthquake Location |
| Feb 1, 0:00 | Feb 1, 23:00 | 24 | Philippines, Alaska, Fiji, Vanuatu, Indonesia, China, Mexico, Eatern Russia, Honduras |
| Feb 2, 3:00 | Feb 3, 23:00 | 45 | Eastern Russia, Solomon Islands, Pakistan, Tonga, Japan, India, Kuril Islands, Indonesia, Philippine, Kermadec Islands, Haiti, Chile, Papua New Guinea, Peru |
| Feb 18, 9:00 | Feb 23, 18:00 | 130 | Papua New Guinea, Chile, Ecuador, Eastern Russia, Indonesia, Mexico, New Zealand, Bolivia, Argentina, New Caledonia, Chile, Japan, Vanuatu, China |
| Feb 26, 16:00 | Feb 29, 5:00 | 62 | Philippines, Alaska, Fiji, Vanuatu, Indonesia, China, Mexico, Eatern Russia, Honduras |
| Feb 29, 9:00 | Mar 1, 0:00 | 16 | Eastern Russia, Solomon Islands, Pakistan, Tonga, Japan, India, Kuril Islands, Indonesia, Philippine, Kermadec Islands, Haiti, Chile, Papua New Guinea, Peru |
| Out of 696 hours | 277 Hrs |
Less Aggressive Model
February 2024
| Start Time | End Time | Hours | Possible Earthquake Location |
| Feb 1, 0:00 | Feb 1, 23:00 | 24 | Philippines, Alaska, Fiji, Vanuatu, Indonesia, China, Mexico, Eatern Russia, Honduras |
| Feb 2, 3:00 | Feb 3, 23:00 | 45 | Eastern Russia, Solomon Islands, Pakistan, Tonga, Japan, India, Kuril Islands, Indonesia, Philippine, Kermadec Islands, Haiti, Chile, Papua New Guinea, Peru |
| Feb 4, 1:00 | Feb 6, 2:00 | 50 | Japan, Indonesia, Mindanao, Philippines, Banda Sea, Indonesia, Myanmar, Japan, northern Mid-Atlantic Ridge, Fiji |
| Feb 18, 9:00 | Feb 23, 18:00 | 130 | Papua New Guinea, Chile, Ecuador, Eastern Russia, Indonesia, Mexico, New Zealand, Bolivia, Argentina, New Caledonia, Chile, Japan, Vanuatu, China |
| Feb 26, 16:00 | Feb 29, 5:00 | 62 | Philippines, Alaska, Fiji, Vanuatu, Indonesia, China, Mexico, Eatern Russia, Honduras |
| Feb 29, 9:00 | Mar 1, 0:00 | 16 | Eastern Russia, Solomon Islands, Pakistan, Tonga, Japan, India, Kuril Islands, Indonesia, Philippine, Kermadec Islands, Haiti, Chile, Papua New Guinea, Peru |
| Out of 696 hours | 327 Hours |
February 29, 2024
In February there was no earthquake of magnitude 6.9 and higher.
Based on the these models (work is still in progress) the earthquake(s) of magnitude 6.9 or higher, if occur, are likely to occur on the following dates, times and at possible locations. Please note that these hourly predictions are provided below for this month and for the rest of the year predictions will be added until the model(s) is expected to be developed with a reasonable degree of confidence. Please note that these dates and time refer to the Universal time (GMT).
Aggressive Model
March 2024
StartTime | End Time | Hours | Possible Earthquake Location |
| Mar 3, 9:00 | Mar 5, 16:00 | 56 | Japan, Indonesia, Mindanao, Philippines, Banda Sea, Indonesia, Myanmar, Japan, northern Mid-Atlantic Ridge, Fiji |
| Mar 17, 14:00 | Mar 22, 1:00 | 108 | Papua New Guinea, Chile, Ecuador, Eastern Russia, Indonesia, Mexico, New Zealand, Bolivia, Argentina, New Caledonia, Chile, Japan, Vanuatu, China |
| Mar 30, 10:00 | Mar 31, 2:00 | 17 | Japan, Mexico, Macquarie Islands, Indonesia, Eastern Russia, Alaska, Argentina, California, Philippines, Fiji Islands, Papua New Guinea, China, South Indian Ocean, Mexico, Vanuatu, Guatemala, Hawaii, Peru |
| Out of 744 hours | 181 hours |
Less Aggressive Model
March 2024
Start Time | End Time | Hours | Possible Earthquake Location |
| Feb 29, 9:00 | Mar 3, 7:00 | 56 | Philippines, Alaska, Fiji, Vanuatu, Indonesia, China, Mexico, Eatern Russia, Honduras |
| Mar 17, 14:00 | Mar 22, 1:00 | 108 | Eastern Russia, Solomon Islands, Pakistan, Tonga, Japan, India, Kuril Islands, Indonesia, Philippine, Kermadec Islands, Haiti, Chile, Papua New Guinea, Peru |
| Mar 24, 23:00 | Mar 27, 11:00 | 61 | Papua New Guinea, Chile, Ecuador, Eastern Russia, Indonesia, Mexico, New Zealand, Bolivia, Argentina, New Caledonia, Chile, Japan, Vanuatu, China |
| Mar 27, 15:00 | Mar 30, 9:00 | 67 | Philippines, Alaska, Fiji, Vanuatu, Indonesia, China, Mexico, Eatern Russia, Honduras |
| Mar 30, 10:00 | Mar 31, 2:00 | 17 | Eastern Russia, Solomon Islands, Pakistan, Tonga, Japan, India, Kuril Islands, Indonesia, Philippine, Kermadec Islands, Haiti, Chile, Papua New Guinea, Peru |
| Out of 744 hours | 309 Hours |
March 31, 2024
In February there was one earthquake of magnitude 6.9 as follows:
March 23: Region: New Guinea, Papua New Guinea, Geographic coordinates: 4.141S, 143.097E, Magnitude: 6.9, Universal Time (UTC): 23 Mar 2024 20:22:04, Time near the Epicenter (1):24 Mar 2024 07:22:04
It missed the prediction time by 27 hours.
Based on the these models (work is still in progress) the earthquake(s) of magnitude 6.9 or higher, if occur, are likely to occur on the following dates, times and at possible locations. Please note that these hourly predictions are provided below for this month and for the rest of the year predictions will be added until the model(s) is expected to be developed with a reasonable degree of confidence. Please note that these dates and time refer to the Universal time (GMT).
Aggressive Model
April 2024
| Start Time | End Time | Hours | Possible Earthquake Location |
| Apr 1, 24 0:00 | Apr 1, 24 18:00 | 19 | Anyone most frequently occurred place |
| Apr 1, 24 22:00 | Apr 3, 24 2:00 | 29 | Southwest Indian Ridge, Papua New Guinea, Philippines, Mexico, Vanuatu, South Sandwich Islands region |
| Apr 3, 24 3:00 | Apr 3, 24 16:00 | 14 | Chile, Mexico, Papua New Guinea, Argentina, Philippines, Taiwan, Eastern Russia, Zimbabwe, Vanuatu, Sumatra, Kermadec Islands, New Zealand |
| Apr 6, 24 21:00 | Apr 7, 24 16:00 | 20 | Peru, Guam, Indonesia, Nepal, Chile |
| Apr 7, 24 17:00 | Apr 8, 24 11:00 | 19 | Vanuatu, Fiji Islands, Kermadec Islands region, Indonesia, Kuril Islands, Papua New Guinea |
| Apr 11, 24 21:00 | Apr 12, 24 12:00 | 16 | California, Argentina, Mexico, southern Mid-Atlantic Ridge, Papua New Guinea |
| Apr 12, 24 13:00 | Apr 13, 24 11:00 | 23 | Papua New Guinea, Argentina, Iran, Indonesia, Macquarie Island region, Chile, Solomon Islands, Myanmar |
| Apr 13, 24 13:00 | Apr 14, 24 8:00 | 20 | Anyone most frequently occurred place |
| Apr 19, 24 10:00 | Apr 20, 24 12:00 | 27 | Anyone most frequently occurred place |
| Apr 20, 24 13:00 | Apr 21, 24 13:00 | 25 | Mariana Islands, Solomon Islands, Alaska, Indonesia, New Zealand, Japan, Philippines, Eastern Russia, Chile, California, Fox Islands, Papua New Guinea |
| Apr 21, 24 14:00 | Apr 22, 24 13:00 | 24 | Fiji, Alaska, Vanuatu, Brazil, Solomon Islands, Indonesia, Ecuador, Banda Sea |
| Apr 28, 24 5:00 | Apr 29, 24 0:00 | 20 | Anyone most frequently occurred place |
| Apr 29, 24 5:00 | Apr 30, 24 21:00 | 41 | Southwest Indian Ridge, Papua New Guinea, Philippines, Mexico, Vanuatu, South Sandwich Islands region |
| Apr 30, 24 22:00 | May 1, 24 0:00 | 3 | Chile, Mexico, Papua New Guinea, Argentina, Philippines, Taiwan, Eastern Russia, Zimbabwe, Vanuatu, Sumatra, Kermadec Islands, New Zealand |
| Out of 720 hours | 300 Hours |
Less Aggressive Model
April 2024
| Start Time | End Time | Hours | Possible Earthquake Location |
| Apr 1, 24 0:00 | Apr 1, 24 18:00 | 19 | |
| Apr 1, 24 10:00 | Apr 3, 24 2:00 | 29 | Southwest Indian Ridge, Papua New Guinea, Philippines, Mexico, Vanuatu, South Sandwich Islands region |
| Apr 3, 24 3:00 | Apr 3, 24 16:00 | 14 | Chile, Mexico, Papua New Guinea, Argentina, Philippines, Taiwan, Eastern Russia, Zimbabwe, Vanuatu, Sumatra, Kermadec Islands, New Zealand |
| Apr 6, 24 21:00 | Apr 7, 24 16:00 | 20 | Peru, Guam, Indonesia, Nepal, Chile |
| Apr 7, 24 17:00 | Apr 8, 24 1:00 | 9 | |
| Apr 11, 24 21:00 | Apr 12, 24 12:00 | 16 | California, Argentina, Mexico, southern Mid-Atlantic Ridge, Papua New Guinea |
| Apr 12, 24 13:00 | Apr 13, 24 11:00 | 23 | Papua New Guinea, Argentina, Iran, Indonesia, Macquarie Island region, Chile, Solomon Islands, Myanmar |
| Apr 13, 24 13:00 | Apr 14, 24 8:00 | 20 | |
| Apr 14, 24 20:00 | Apr 18, 24 20:00 | 97 | Alaska, Argentina, Bolivia, Tonga, Eastern Russia, Philippines, Indonesia, Japan, Iran, South Sandwich Islands, Nepal, Ecuador |
| Apr 19, 24 10:00 | Apr 20, 24 12:00 | 27 | |
| Apr 20, 24 13:00 | Apr 21, 24 13:00 | 25 | Mariana Islands, Solomon Islands, Alaska, Indonesia, New Zealand, Japan, Philippines, Eastern Russia, Chile, California, Fox Islands, Papua New Guinea |
| Apr 21, 24 14:00 | Apr 22, 24 13:00 | 24 | Fiji, Alaska, Vanuatu, Brazil, Solomon Islands, Indonesia, Ecuador, Banda Sea |
| Apr 24, 24 2:00 | Apr 26, 24 21:00 | 68 | Japan, Mexico, Macquarie Islands, Indonesia, Eastern Russia, Alaska, Argentina, California, Philippines, Fiji Islands, Papua New Guinea, China, South Indian Ocean, Mexico, Vanuatu, Guatemala, Hawaii, Peru |
| Apr 28, 24 5:00 | Apr 29, 24 0:00 | 20 | |
| Apr 29, 24 5:00 | Apr 30, 24 21:00 | 41 | Southwest Indian Ridge, Papua New Guinea, Philippines, Mexico, Vanuatu, South Sandwich Islands region |
| Apr 30, 24 22:00 | May 1, 24 0:00 | 3 | Chile, Mexico, Papua New Guinea, Argentina, Philippines, Taiwan, Eastern Russia, Zimbabwe, Vanuatu, Sumatra, Kermadec Islands, New Zealand |
| Out of 720 Hours | 455 hours | ||