Earthquake Predictions for August 2025

Date Posted: July 31, 2025

Presented here are two models: Most Aggressive and Aggressive.  Based on these models (work is still in progress) the earthquake(s) of magnitude 6.9 or higher, if occur, are likely to occur on the following dates, times and at possible locations.  Please note that these dates and time refer to the Universal time (GMT).  Comments for July 2025 predictions click here. 

                                    Please note that these dates and time refer to the Universal time (GMT)

Most Aggressive Model                                                Aggressive Model

Start TimeEnd TimeHoursPossible Earthquake LocationStart TimeEnd TimeHoursPossible Earthquake Location
        
Aug 1   0:00Aug 2   14:0039Japan, Indonesia, New Caledonia, Vanuatu, Turkey, PeruAug 1   0:00Aug 2   14:0039Japan, Indonesia, New Caledonia, Vanuatu, Turkey, Peru
Aug 6   6:00Aug 7   9:0028AlaskaAug 4   22:00Aug 5   10:0013Anywhere in the world
Aug 11   23:00Aug 12   23:0025Vanuatu, Mexico, Eastern Russia, Kermadec Islands, Papua New Guinea, EquadorAug 11   14:00Aug 11   22:009Vanuatu, South Georgia Island, Mexico
Aug 24   9:00Aug 25   9:0025Solomon Islands, Papua New Guinea, Vanuatu, Japan, Indonesia, Philippines, Mexico, Tonga, New Zealand, Kermadec IslandsAug 11   23:00Aug 12   23:0025Vanuatu, Mexico, Eastern Russia, Kermadec Islands, Papua New Guinea, Equador
Aug 28   14:00Aug 30   14:0049Japan, Indonesia, New Caledonia, Vanuatu, Turkey, PeruAug 14   14:00Aug 16   3:0038Indonesia
    Aug 18   0:00Aug 19   7:0032Indonesia
 Out of 744 hours166 Aug 23   12:00Aug 24   0:0013New Zealand, Kermadec Islands, Indonesia
    Aug 24   8:00Aug 24   8:001New Zealand, Kermadec Islands, Indonesia
    Aug 24   9:00Aug 25   9:0025Solomon Islands, Papua New Guinea, Vanuatu, Japan, Indonesia, Philippines, Mexico, Tonga, New Zealand, Kermadec Islands
    Aug 28   14:00Aug 30   14:0049Japan, Indonesia, New Caledonia, Vanuatu, Turkey, Peru
        
     Out of 744 hours244 

August 31, 2025

In August, there was one earthquake of magnitude 7.5 (6.9 or higher) that occurred as follow:

August 22: Region: Drake Passage, Geographic coordinates: 60.186S,  61.821W, Magnitude: 7.5, Universal Time (UTC): 22 Aug 2025  02:16:19, Time near the Epicenter (1): 21 Aug 2025  22:16:19

Both models failed to capture this earthquakes. The aggressive model was off more than 24 hours.