Earthquake Predictions for 2024

Presented here are two models: Aggressive and less Aggressive.  Based on the these models (work is still in progress) the earthquake(s) of magnitude 6.9 or higher, if occur, are likely to occur on the following dates, times and at possible locations.  Please note that these hourly predictions are provided below for this month and for the rest of the year predictions will be added until the model(s) is expected to be developed with a reasonable degree of confidence. Please note that these dates and time refer to the Universal time (GMT).

January 2:   Read the post-comment below at the end of this month’s predictions.

Aggressive Model

January 2024

Start TimeEnd TimeHoursPossible Earthquake Location
Jan 7, 24 16:00Jan 8, 24 12:0021Banda Sea  Indonesia  northern Mid-Atlantic Ridge   
Jan 10, 24 8:00Jan 13, 24 2:0067Vanuatu  Chile  Indonesia   Fiji region Solomon Islands
Jan 23, 24 4:00Jan 25, 24 2:0047Eastern Russia  Bolivia  Maumere, Indonesia   Papua New Guinea
Jan 27, 24 2:00Jan 27, 24 21:0020Eastern Russia  Bolivia  Maumere, Indonesia   Papua New Guinea
 Out of 744 Hours153 Hrs 

Less Aggressive Model

January 2024

Start TimeEnd TimeHoursPossible Earthquake Location
Jan 3, 24 22:00Jan 5, 24 15:0042Philippines, Alaska, Fiji, Vanuatu, Indonesia, China, Mexico, Eatern Russia, Honduras
Jan 5, 24 19:00Jan 6, 24 12:0018Eastern Russia, Solomon Islands, Pakistan, Tonga, Japan, India, Kuril Islands, Indonesia, Philippine, Kermadec Islands, Haiti, Chile, Papua New Guinea, Peru
Jan 6, 24 23:00Jan 8, 24 12:0038Japan, Indonesia, Mindanao, Philippines, Banda Sea, Indonesia, Myanmar, Japan, northern Mid-Atlantic Ridge, Fiji
Jan 10, 24 1:00Jan 14, 24 10:00106Vanuatu, Chile, Peru, Indonesia, Philippines, Fiji region Solomon Islands, Colombia
Jan 22, 24 7:00Jan 27, 24 12:00126Papua New Guinea, Chile, Ecuador, Eastern Russia, Indonesia, Mexico, New Zealand, Bolivia, Argentina, New Caledonia, Chile, Japan, Vanuatu, China
Jan 30, 24 10:00Jan 31, 24 0:0039Philippines, Alaska, Fiji, Vanuatu, Indonesia, China, Mexico, Eastern Russia, Honduras
 Out of 744 Hours369 Hrs. 

January 2, 2024 (comment)

In light of the recent earthquake in Japan (Universal Time (UTC): 1 Jan 2024  07:10:10) of magnitude 7.6, and after double checking both models it was discovered that both of them did NOT failed but they DID predict the earthquake. A mistake was made in not including the first few days of January (up to Jan 3, 2024 21:00 GMT), a period before the earth reaches it’s maximum orbital speed around the earth. 

January 31, 2024

In January there were two earthquakes of magnitude 6.9 and higher that occurred as follows:

January 1: Region: near the west coast of Honshu, Japan, Geographic coordinates: 37.498N, 137.242E, Magnitude: 7.5, Universal Time (UTC): 1 Jan 2024  07:10:10, Time near the Epicenter (1): 1 Jan 2024  16:10:10

January 22: Region: Kyrgyzstan-Xinjiang border region, Geographic coordinates:  41.294N,  78.594E, Magnitude: 7.0, Universal Time (UTC): 22 Jan 2024  18:09:07, Time near the Epicenter (1): 23 Jan 2024  02:09:07

While the aggressive model missed the second one, the less aggressive model captured both of them.

Based on the these models (work is still in progress) the earthquake(s) of magnitude 6.9 or higher, if occur, are likely to occur on the following dates, times and at possible locations.  Please note that these hourly predictions are provided below for this month and for the rest of the year predictions will be added until the model(s) is expected to be developed with a reasonable degree of confidence. Please note that these dates and time refer to the Universal time (GMT).

Aggressive Model

February 2024

Start TimeEnd TimeHoursPossible Earthquake Location
Feb 1, 0:00Feb 1, 23:0024Philippines, Alaska, Fiji, Vanuatu, Indonesia, China, Mexico, Eatern Russia, Honduras
Feb 2, 3:00Feb 3, 23:0045Eastern Russia, Solomon Islands, Pakistan, Tonga, Japan, India, Kuril Islands, Indonesia, Philippine, Kermadec Islands, Haiti, Chile, Papua New Guinea, Peru
Feb 18, 9:00Feb 23, 18:00130Papua New Guinea, Chile, Ecuador, Eastern Russia, Indonesia, Mexico, New Zealand, Bolivia, Argentina, New Caledonia, Chile, Japan, Vanuatu, China
Feb 26, 16:00Feb 29, 5:0062Philippines, Alaska, Fiji, Vanuatu, Indonesia, China, Mexico, Eatern Russia, Honduras
Feb 29, 9:00Mar 1, 0:0016Eastern Russia, Solomon Islands, Pakistan, Tonga, Japan, India, Kuril Islands, Indonesia, Philippine, Kermadec Islands, Haiti, Chile, Papua New Guinea, Peru
 Out of 696 hours277 Hrs 

Less Aggressive Model

February 2024

Start TimeEnd TimeHoursPossible Earthquake Location
Feb 1, 0:00Feb 1, 23:0024Philippines, Alaska, Fiji, Vanuatu, Indonesia, China, Mexico, Eatern Russia, Honduras
Feb 2, 3:00Feb 3, 23:0045Eastern Russia, Solomon Islands, Pakistan, Tonga, Japan, India, Kuril Islands, Indonesia, Philippine, Kermadec Islands, Haiti, Chile, Papua New Guinea, Peru
Feb 4, 1:00Feb 6, 2:0050Japan, Indonesia, Mindanao, Philippines, Banda Sea, Indonesia, Myanmar, Japan, northern Mid-Atlantic Ridge, Fiji
Feb 18, 9:00Feb 23, 18:00130Papua New Guinea, Chile, Ecuador, Eastern Russia, Indonesia, Mexico, New Zealand, Bolivia, Argentina, New Caledonia, Chile, Japan, Vanuatu, China
Feb 26, 16:00Feb 29, 5:0062Philippines, Alaska, Fiji, Vanuatu, Indonesia, China, Mexico, Eatern Russia, Honduras
Feb 29, 9:00Mar 1, 0:0016Eastern Russia, Solomon Islands, Pakistan, Tonga, Japan, India, Kuril Islands, Indonesia, Philippine, Kermadec Islands, Haiti, Chile, Papua New Guinea, Peru
 Out of 696 hours327 Hours 

February 29, 2024

In February there was no earthquake of magnitude 6.9 and higher.

Based on the these models (work is still in progress) the earthquake(s) of magnitude 6.9 or higher, if occur, are likely to occur on the following dates, times and at possible locations.  Please note that these hourly predictions are provided below for this month and for the rest of the year predictions will be added until the model(s) is expected to be developed with a reasonable degree of confidence. Please note that these dates and time refer to the Universal time (GMT).

Aggressive Model

March 2024

StartTime

End Time

Hours

Possible Earthquake Location

Mar 3, 9:00Mar 5, 16:0056Japan, Indonesia, Mindanao, Philippines, Banda Sea, Indonesia, Myanmar, Japan, northern Mid-Atlantic Ridge, Fiji
Mar 17, 14:00Mar 22, 1:00108Papua New Guinea, Chile, Ecuador, Eastern Russia, Indonesia, Mexico, New Zealand, Bolivia, Argentina, New Caledonia, Chile, Japan, Vanuatu, China
Mar 30, 10:00Mar 31, 2:0017Japan, Mexico, Macquarie Islands, Indonesia, Eastern Russia, Alaska, Argentina, California, Philippines, Fiji Islands, Papua New Guinea, China, South Indian Ocean, Mexico,   Vanuatu, Guatemala, Hawaii, Peru
 Out of 744 hours

181 hours

 

 

Less Aggressive Model

March 2024

Start Time

End Time

Hours

Possible Earthquake Location

Feb 29, 9:00Mar 3, 7:0056Philippines, Alaska, Fiji, Vanuatu, Indonesia, China, Mexico, Eatern Russia, Honduras
Mar 17, 14:00Mar 22, 1:00108Eastern Russia, Solomon Islands, Pakistan, Tonga, Japan, India, Kuril Islands, Indonesia, Philippine, Kermadec Islands, Haiti, Chile, Papua New Guinea, Peru
Mar 24, 23:00Mar 27, 11:0061Papua New Guinea, Chile, Ecuador, Eastern Russia, Indonesia, Mexico, New Zealand, Bolivia, Argentina, New Caledonia, Chile, Japan, Vanuatu, China
Mar 27, 15:00Mar 30, 9:0067Philippines, Alaska, Fiji, Vanuatu, Indonesia, China, Mexico, Eatern Russia, Honduras
Mar 30, 10:00Mar 31, 2:0017Eastern Russia, Solomon Islands, Pakistan, Tonga, Japan, India, Kuril Islands, Indonesia, Philippine, Kermadec Islands, Haiti, Chile, Papua New Guinea, Peru
 Out of 744 hours309 Hours 

March 31, 2024

In March there was one earthquake of magnitude 6.9 as follows:

March 23: Region: New Guinea, Papua New Guinea, Geographic coordinates: 4.141S, 143.097E, Magnitude: 6.9, Universal Time (UTC): 23 Mar 2024  20:22:04, Time near the Epicenter (1):24 Mar 2024  07:22:04

It missed the prediction time by 27 hours. 

Based on the these models (work is still in progress) the earthquake(s) of magnitude 6.9 or higher, if occur, are likely to occur on the following dates, times and at possible locations.  Please note that these hourly predictions are provided below for this month and for the rest of the year predictions will be added until the model(s) is expected to be developed with a reasonable degree of confidence. Please note that these dates and time refer to the Universal time (GMT).

Aggressive Model

April 2024

Start TimeEnd TimeHoursPossible Earthquake Location
Apr 1, 24 0:00Apr 1, 24 18:0019Anyone most frequently occurred place
Apr 1, 24 22:00Apr 3, 24 2:0029Southwest Indian Ridge, Papua New Guinea, Philippines, Mexico, Vanuatu, South Sandwich Islands region
Apr 3, 24 3:00Apr 3, 24 16:0014Chile, Mexico, Papua New Guinea, Argentina, Philippines, Taiwan, Eastern Russia, Zimbabwe, Vanuatu, Sumatra, Kermadec Islands, New Zealand
Apr 6, 24 21:00Apr 7, 24 16:0020Peru, Guam, Indonesia, Nepal, Chile
Apr 7, 24 17:00Apr 8, 24 11:0019Vanuatu, Fiji Islands, Kermadec Islands region, Indonesia, Kuril Islands, Papua New Guinea
Apr 11, 24 21:00Apr 12, 24 12:0016California, Argentina, Mexico, southern Mid-Atlantic Ridge, Papua New Guinea
Apr 12, 24 13:00Apr 13, 24 11:0023Papua New Guinea, Argentina, Iran, Indonesia, Macquarie Island region, Chile, Solomon Islands, Myanmar
Apr 13, 24 13:00Apr 14, 24 8:0020Anyone most frequently occurred place
Apr 19, 24 10:00Apr 20, 24 12:0027Anyone most frequently occurred place
Apr 20, 24 13:00Apr 21, 24 13:0025Mariana Islands, Solomon Islands, Alaska, Indonesia, New Zealand, Japan, Philippines, Eastern Russia, Chile, California, Fox Islands, Papua New Guinea
Apr 21, 24 14:00Apr 22, 24 13:0024Fiji, Alaska, Vanuatu, Brazil, Solomon Islands, Indonesia, Ecuador, Banda Sea
Apr 28, 24 5:00Apr 29, 24 0:0020Anyone most frequently occurred place
Apr 29, 24 5:00Apr 30, 24 21:0041Southwest Indian Ridge, Papua New Guinea, Philippines, Mexico, Vanuatu, South Sandwich Islands region
Apr 30, 24 22:00May 1, 24 0:003Chile, Mexico, Papua New Guinea, Argentina, Philippines, Taiwan, Eastern Russia, Zimbabwe, Vanuatu, Sumatra, Kermadec Islands, New Zealand
    
 Out of 720 hours300 Hours 

Less Aggressive Model

April 2024

Start TimeEnd TimeHoursPossible Earthquake Location
Apr 1, 24 0:00Apr 1, 24 18:0019 
Apr 1, 24 10:00Apr 3, 24 2:0029Southwest Indian Ridge, Papua New Guinea, Philippines, Mexico, Vanuatu, South Sandwich Islands region
Apr 3, 24 3:00Apr 3, 24 16:0014Chile, Mexico, Papua New Guinea, Argentina, Philippines, Taiwan, Eastern Russia, Zimbabwe, Vanuatu, Sumatra, Kermadec Islands, New Zealand
Apr 6, 24 21:00Apr 7, 24 16:0020Peru, Guam, Indonesia, Nepal, Chile
Apr 7, 24 17:00Apr 8, 24 1:009 
Apr 11, 24 21:00Apr 12, 24 12:0016California, Argentina, Mexico, southern Mid-Atlantic Ridge, Papua New Guinea
Apr 12, 24 13:00Apr 13, 24 11:0023Papua New Guinea, Argentina, Iran, Indonesia, Macquarie Island region, Chile, Solomon Islands, Myanmar
Apr 13, 24 13:00Apr 14, 24 8:0020 
Apr 14, 24 20:00Apr 18, 24 20:0097Alaska, Argentina, Bolivia, Tonga, Eastern Russia, Philippines, Indonesia, Japan, Iran, South Sandwich Islands, Nepal, Ecuador
Apr 19, 24 10:00Apr 20, 24 12:0027 
Apr 20, 24 13:00Apr 21, 24 13:0025Mariana Islands, Solomon Islands, Alaska, Indonesia, New Zealand, Japan, Philippines, Eastern Russia, Chile, California, Fox Islands, Papua New Guinea
Apr 21, 24 14:00Apr 22, 24 13:0024Fiji, Alaska, Vanuatu, Brazil, Solomon Islands, Indonesia, Ecuador, Banda Sea
Apr 24, 24 2:00Apr 26, 24 21:0068Japan, Mexico, Macquarie Islands, Indonesia, Eastern Russia, Alaska, Argentina, California, Philippines, Fiji Islands, Papua New Guinea, China, South Indian Ocean, Mexico,   Vanuatu, Guatemala, Hawaii, Peru
Apr 28, 24 5:00Apr 29, 24 0:0020 
Apr 29, 24 5:00Apr 30, 24 21:0041Southwest Indian Ridge, Papua New Guinea, Philippines, Mexico, Vanuatu, South Sandwich Islands region
Apr 30, 24 22:00May 1, 24 0:003Chile, Mexico, Papua New Guinea, Argentina, Philippines, Taiwan, Eastern Russia, Zimbabwe, Vanuatu, Sumatra, Kermadec Islands, New Zealand
    
 Out of 720 Hours455 hours

April 30, 2024

In April there was one earthquake of magnitude 7.4 as follows:

April 2:Region: Taiwan, Geographic coordinates: 23.819N, 121.562E, Magnitude: 7.4Universal Time (UTC): 2 Apr 2024  23:58:11, Time near the Epicenter (1): 3 Apr 2024  07:58:11

It did occur on the predicted date and time.

Based on the these models (work is still in progress) the earthquake(s) of magnitude 6.9 or higher, if occur, are likely to occur on the following dates, times and at possible locations.  Please note that these hourly predictions are provided below for this month and for the rest of the year predictions will be added until the model(s) is expected to be developed with a reasonable degree of confidence. Please note that these dates and time refer to the Universal time (GMT).

Aggressive Model

May 2024

Start Time

End Time

Hours

Possible Earthquake Location

May 1   0:00May 1   10:0011Chile, Mexico, Papua New Guinea, Argentina, Philippines, Taiwan, Eastern Russia, Zimbabwe, Vanuatu, Sumatra, Kermadec Islands, New Zealand
May 4   8:00May 5   4:0021Peru, Guam, Indonesia, Nepal, Chile
May 5   20:00May 6   11:0016Mariana Islands, Solomon Islands, Alaska, Indonesia, New Zealand, Japan, Philippines, Eastern Russia, Chile, California, Fox Islands, Papua New Guinea
May 10   16:00May 11   8:0017California, Argentina, Mexico, southern Mid-Atlantic Ridge, Papua New Guinea
May 11   9:00May 12   5:0021Papua New Guinea, Argentina, Iran, Indonesia, Macquarie Island region, Chile, Solomon Islands, Myanmar
May 13   10:00May 13   10:001anywhere
May 13   11:00May 14   4:0018Alaska, Argentina, Bolivia, Tonga, Eastern Russia, Philippines, Indonesia, Japan, Iran, South Sandwich Islands, Nepal, Ecuador
May 15   1:00May 16   2:0026Alaska, Argentina, Bolivia, Tonga, Eastern Russia, Philippines, Indonesia, Japan, Iran, South Sandwich Islands, Nepal, Ecuador
May 16   3:00May 16   3:001anywhere
May 17   8:00May 18   1:0018anywhere
May 18   20:00May 18   22:003anywhere
May 23   1:00May 23   10:0010Southwest Indian Ridge, Papua New Guinea, Philippines, Mexico, Vanuatu, South Sandwich Islands region
May 23   11:00May 24   17:0031Chile, Mexico, Papua New Guinea, Argentina, Philippines, Taiwan, Eastern Russia, Zimbabwe, Vanuatu, Sumatra, Kermadec Islands, New Zealand
May 25   11:00May 26   5:0019anywhere
May 31   14:00Jun 1   0:0011Peru, Guam, Indonesia, Nepal, Chile
    
 Out of 744 hours224 Hours

Less Aggressive Model

May 2024

Start Time

End Time

Hours

Possible Earthquake Location

May 1   0:00May 1   10:0011Chile, Mexico, Papua New Guinea, Argentina, Philippines, Taiwan, Eastern Russia, Zimbabwe, Vanuatu, Sumatra, Kermadec Islands, New Zealand
May 4   8:00May 5   4:0021Peru, Guam, Indonesia, Nepal, Chile
May 5   20:00May 6   11:0016Mariana Islands, Solomon Islands, Alaska, Indonesia, New Zealand, Japan, Philippines, Eastern Russia, Chile, California, Fox Islands, Papua New Guinea
May 10   16:00May 11   8:0017California, Argentina, Mexico, southern Mid-Atlantic Ridge, Papua New Guinea
May 11   9:00May 12   5:0021Papua New Guinea, Argentina, Iran, Indonesia, Macquarie Island region, Chile, Solomon Islands, Myanmar
May 13   10:00May 13   10:001anywhere
May 13   11:00May 14   4:0018Alaska, Argentina, Bolivia, Tonga, Eastern Russia, Philippines, Indonesia, Japan, Iran, South Sandwich Islands, Nepal, Ecuador
May 15   1:00May 16   2:0026Alaska, Argentina, Bolivia, Tonga, Eastern Russia, Philippines, Indonesia, Japan, Iran, South Sandwich Islands, Nepal, Ecuador
May 16   3:00May 16   3:001anywhere
May 17   8:00May 19   19:0060anywhere
May 23   1:00May 23   10:0010anywhere
May 23   11:00May 24   17:0031Southwest Indian Ridge, Papua New Guinea, Philippines, Mexico, Vanuatu, South Sandwich Islands region
May 25   11:00May 26   5:0019Chile, Mexico, Papua New Guinea, Argentina, Philippines, Taiwan, Eastern Russia, Zimbabwe, Vanuatu, Sumatra, Kermadec Islands, New Zealand
May 26   18:00May 30   3:0082anywhere
May 31   14:00Jun 1   0:0011Peru, Guam, Indonesia, Nepal, Chile
    
 Out of 744 Hours345 hours

 

May 31, 2024

In May there was no earthquake of magnitude 6.9 and higher.

Based on the these models (work is still in progress) the earthquake(s) of magnitude 6.9 or higher, if occur, are likely to occur on the following dates, times and at possible locations.  Please note that these hourly predictions are provided below for this month and for the rest of the year predictions will be added until the model(s) is expected to be developed with a reasonable degree of confidence. Please note that these dates and time refer to the Universal time (GMT).

Aggressive Model

June 2024

Start Time

End Time

Hours

Possible Earthquake Location

Jun 1   9:00Jun 1   10:002Anyone of frequently occurring earthquake locations
Jun 2   7:00Jun 3   6:0024Anyone of frequently occurring earthquake locations
Jun 7   7:00Jun 8   2:0020Anyone of frequently occurring earthquake locations
Jun 8   4:00Jun 8   22:0019California, Argentina, Mexico, southern Mid-Atlantic Ridge, Papua New Guinea
Jun 8   23:00Jun 9   17:0019Papua New Guinea, Argentina, Iran, Indonesia, Macquarie Island region, Chile, Solomon Islands, Myanmar
Jun 12   7:00Jun 12   9:003Alaska, Argentina, Bolivia, Tonga, Eastern Russia, Philippines, Indonesia, Japan, Iran, South Sandwich Islands, Nepal, Ecuador
Jun 14   7:00Jun 15   0:0018Mariana Islands, Solomon Islands, Alaska, Indonesia, New Zealand, Japan, Philippines, Eastern Russia, Chile, California, Fox Islands, Papua New Guinea
Jun 15   1:00Jun 15   2:002Fiji, Alaska, Vanuatu, Brazil, Solomon Islands, Indonesia, Ecuador, Banda Sea
Jun 19   17:00Jun 20   6:0014Southwest Indian Ridge, Papua New Guinea, Philippines, Mexico, Vanuatu, South Sandwich Islands region
Jun 20   7:00Jun 21   1:0019Chile, Mexico, Papua New Guinea, Argentina, Philippines, Taiwan, Eastern Russia, Zimbabwe, Vanuatu, Sumatra, Kermadec Islands, New Zealand
Jun 21   17:00Jun 22   4:0012Anyone of frequently occurring earthquake locations
Jun 22   5:00Jun 22   12:008Papua New Guinea, Fiji, Indonesia, New Caledonia, Mexico, Kermadec Islands, Tonga, Sea of Okhotsk
Jun 26   1:00Jun 26   6:006Papua New Guinea, Fiji, Indonesia, New Caledonia, Mexico, Kermadec Islands, Tonga, Sea of Okhotsk
Jun 26   7:00Jun 27   2:0020Anyone of frequently occurring earthquake locations
Jun 28   11:00Jun 28   12:002Anyone of frequently occurring earthquake locations
    
 Out of 720 Hours188 Hours

 

Less Aggressive Model

June 2024

Start Time

End Time

Hours

Possible Earthquake Location

Jun 1   9:00Jun 1   10:002Anyone of frequently occurring earthquake locations
Jun 2   7:00Jun 3   6:0024Anyone of frequently occurring earthquake locations
Jun 7   7:00Jun 8   2:0020Anyone of frequently occurring earthquake locations
Jun 8   4:00Jun 8   22:0019California, Argentina, Mexico, southern Mid-Atlantic Ridge, Papua New Guinea
Jun 8   23:00Jun 9   17:0019Papua New Guinea, Argentina, Iran, Indonesia, Macquarie Island region, Chile, Solomon Islands, Myanmar
Jun 12   7:00Jun 12   9:003Alaska, Argentina, Bolivia, Tonga, Eastern Russia, Philippines, Indonesia, Japan, Iran, South Sandwich Islands, Nepal, Ecuador
Jun 14   1:00Jun 15   0:0024Mariana Islands, Solomon Islands, Alaska, Indonesia, New Zealand, Japan, Philippines, Eastern Russia, Chile, California, Fox Islands, Papua New Guinea
Jun 15   1:00Jun 16   0:0024Fiji, Alaska, Vanuatu, Brazil, Solomon Islands, Indonesia, Ecuador, Banda Sea
Jun 19   17:00Jun 20   6:0014Southwest Indian Ridge, Papua New Guinea, Philippines, Mexico, Vanuatu, South Sandwich Islands region
Jun 20   7:00Jun 21   1:0019Chile, Mexico, Papua New Guinea, Argentina, Philippines, Taiwan, Eastern Russia, Zimbabwe, Vanuatu, Sumatra, Kermadec Islands, New Zealand
Jun 21   17:00Jun 22   4:0012Anyone of frequently occurring earthquake locations
Jun 22   5:00Jun 26   6:0098Papua New Guinea, Fiji, Indonesia, New Caledonia, Mexico, Kermadec Islands, Tonga, Sea of Okhotsk
Jun 26   7:00Jun 27   2:0020Anyone of frequently occurring earthquake locations
Jun 28   11:00Jun 28   12:002Anyone of frequently occurring earthquake locations
    
 Out of 720 Hours300 Hours