Earthquake Predictions for 2024

Presented here are two models: Aggressive and less Aggressive.  Based on the these models (work is still in progress) the earthquake(s) of magnitude 6.9 or higher, if occur, are likely to occur on the following dates, times and at possible locations.  Please note that these hourly predictions are provided below for this month and for the rest of the year predictions will be added until the model(s) is expected to be developed with a reasonable degree of confidence. Please note that these dates and time refer to the Universal time (GMT).

January 2:   Read the post-comment below at the end of this month’s predictions.

Aggressive Model

January 2024

Start TimeEnd TimeHoursPossible Earthquake Location
Jan 7, 24 16:00Jan 8, 24 12:0021Banda Sea  Indonesia  northern Mid-Atlantic Ridge   
Jan 10, 24 8:00Jan 13, 24 2:0067Vanuatu  Chile  Indonesia   Fiji region Solomon Islands
Jan 23, 24 4:00Jan 25, 24 2:0047Eastern Russia  Bolivia  Maumere, Indonesia   Papua New Guinea
Jan 27, 24 2:00Jan 27, 24 21:0020Eastern Russia  Bolivia  Maumere, Indonesia   Papua New Guinea
 Out of 744 Hours153 Hrs 

Less Aggressive Model

January 2024

Start TimeEnd TimeHoursPossible Earthquake Location
Jan 3, 24 22:00Jan 5, 24 15:0042Philippines, Alaska, Fiji, Vanuatu, Indonesia, China, Mexico, Eatern Russia, Honduras
Jan 5, 24 19:00Jan 6, 24 12:0018Eastern Russia, Solomon Islands, Pakistan, Tonga, Japan, India, Kuril Islands, Indonesia, Philippine, Kermadec Islands, Haiti, Chile, Papua New Guinea, Peru
Jan 6, 24 23:00Jan 8, 24 12:0038Japan, Indonesia, Mindanao, Philippines, Banda Sea, Indonesia, Myanmar, Japan, northern Mid-Atlantic Ridge, Fiji
Jan 10, 24 1:00Jan 14, 24 10:00106Vanuatu, Chile, Peru, Indonesia, Philippines, Fiji region Solomon Islands, Colombia
Jan 22, 24 7:00Jan 27, 24 12:00126Papua New Guinea, Chile, Ecuador, Eastern Russia, Indonesia, Mexico, New Zealand, Bolivia, Argentina, New Caledonia, Chile, Japan, Vanuatu, China
Jan 30, 24 10:00Jan 31, 24 0:0039Philippines, Alaska, Fiji, Vanuatu, Indonesia, China, Mexico, Eastern Russia, Honduras
 Out of 744 Hours369 Hrs. 

January 2, 2024 (comment)

In light of the recent earthquake in Japan (Universal Time (UTC): 1 Jan 2024  07:10:10) of magnitude 7.6, and after double checking both models it was discovered that both of them did NOT failed but they DID predict the earthquake. A mistake was made in not including the first few days of January (up to Jan 3, 2024 21:00 GMT), a period before the earth reaches it’s maximum orbital speed around the earth. 

January 31, 2024

In January there were two earthquakes of magnitude 6.9 and higher that occurred as follows:

January 1: Region: near the west coast of Honshu, Japan, Geographic coordinates: 37.498N, 137.242E, Magnitude: 7.5, Universal Time (UTC): 1 Jan 2024  07:10:10, Time near the Epicenter (1): 1 Jan 2024  16:10:10

January 22: Region: Kyrgyzstan-Xinjiang border region, Geographic coordinates:  41.294N,  78.594E, Magnitude: 7.0, Universal Time (UTC): 22 Jan 2024  18:09:07, Time near the Epicenter (1): 23 Jan 2024  02:09:07

While the aggressive model missed the second one, the less aggressive model captured both of them.

Based on the these models (work is still in progress) the earthquake(s) of magnitude 6.9 or higher, if occur, are likely to occur on the following dates, times and at possible locations.  Please note that these hourly predictions are provided below for this month and for the rest of the year predictions will be added until the model(s) is expected to be developed with a reasonable degree of confidence. Please note that these dates and time refer to the Universal time (GMT).

 

 

Aggressive Model

February 2024

Start TimeEnd TimeHoursPossible Earthquake Location
Feb 1, 0:00Feb 1, 23:0024Philippines, Alaska, Fiji, Vanuatu, Indonesia, China, Mexico, Eatern Russia, Honduras
Feb 2, 3:00Feb 3, 23:0045Eastern Russia, Solomon Islands, Pakistan, Tonga, Japan, India, Kuril Islands, Indonesia, Philippine, Kermadec Islands, Haiti, Chile, Papua New Guinea, Peru
Feb 18, 9:00Feb 23, 18:00130Papua New Guinea, Chile, Ecuador, Eastern Russia, Indonesia, Mexico, New Zealand, Bolivia, Argentina, New Caledonia, Chile, Japan, Vanuatu, China
Feb 26, 16:00Feb 29, 5:0062Philippines, Alaska, Fiji, Vanuatu, Indonesia, China, Mexico, Eatern Russia, Honduras
Feb 29, 9:00Mar 1, 0:0016Eastern Russia, Solomon Islands, Pakistan, Tonga, Japan, India, Kuril Islands, Indonesia, Philippine, Kermadec Islands, Haiti, Chile, Papua New Guinea, Peru
 Out of 696 hours277 Hrs 

Less Aggressive Model

February 2024

Start TimeEnd TimeHoursPossible Earthquake Location
Feb 1, 0:00Feb 1, 23:0024Philippines, Alaska, Fiji, Vanuatu, Indonesia, China, Mexico, Eatern Russia, Honduras
Feb 2, 3:00Feb 3, 23:0045Eastern Russia, Solomon Islands, Pakistan, Tonga, Japan, India, Kuril Islands, Indonesia, Philippine, Kermadec Islands, Haiti, Chile, Papua New Guinea, Peru
Feb 4, 1:00Feb 6, 2:0050Japan, Indonesia, Mindanao, Philippines, Banda Sea, Indonesia, Myanmar, Japan, northern Mid-Atlantic Ridge, Fiji
Feb 18, 9:00Feb 23, 18:00130Papua New Guinea, Chile, Ecuador, Eastern Russia, Indonesia, Mexico, New Zealand, Bolivia, Argentina, New Caledonia, Chile, Japan, Vanuatu, China
Feb 26, 16:00Feb 29, 5:0062Philippines, Alaska, Fiji, Vanuatu, Indonesia, China, Mexico, Eatern Russia, Honduras
Feb 29, 9:00Mar 1, 0:0016Eastern Russia, Solomon Islands, Pakistan, Tonga, Japan, India, Kuril Islands, Indonesia, Philippine, Kermadec Islands, Haiti, Chile, Papua New Guinea, Peru
 Out of 696 hours327 Hours